Governments should require that funded climate data be posted
My case for requiring the posting of publicly-funded data related to climate research
boils down to three points: C1. It will allow review of the data for error by other
scientists. C2. It will put peer pressure on the originating scientists to use better
methodologies, such as software configuration control. C3. The public has a right
to the products of work paid for by taxpayers. Con did not address any of my three
points. Instead, he introduced two negative contentions. N1. Pro claimed that public
controversy would continue regardless of whether data is disclosed or not. I never
claimed that disclosure would end public controversy. I don't doubt that there are
people among the public who will not alter their positions regardless of what is revealed.
We should not care about that. Dissent is protected, even if it is not well-founded.
However, until there is disclosure of what climate crisis advocates have done, there
is no possibility of achieving a consensus on it, either by the public or among scientists.
We may not ever get a public consensus, but there is a possibility of getting closer
agreement among scientists. That will not happen until disclosure of research data
and methods is accomplished. N2. Con goes on to claim, "I will show how unlimited
public access to all, and especially preliminary data will only serve to further fire
the flames of rhetoric that serve to obscure what may well be the most crucial issue
of our time." So for example, if the official position is that the earth is the center
of the universe, allowing access to data that shows the earth revolves around the
sun would similarly, "fire the flames of rhetoric that serve to obscure what may well
be the most crucial issue of our time." "Our time" in that case being the Sixteenth
Century. It is precisely because a scientific issue is important that data ought to
be disclosed, not suppressed. Con implied I wanted "preliminary data" disclosed. The
resolution makes it clear that disclosure of source data and processing software is
required only one month *after* publication. No preliminary data need ever be disclosed.
It sometimes happens that a particular line of scientific inquiry proves ultimately
fruitless, in which case no results are published and nothing ever need be disclosed
as a consequence. When a result is published it is believed by the originator to be
reliable. In the case of climate data, it is used as a basis for public policy decisions. If it supposed to be the basis for decision making, then it is appropriate that the
means by which it was derived be disclosed at that time, or soon thereafter. Returning
to my contentions, to which Pro offered no rebuttals: C1. The revealed CRU e-mails
show an intent to further subvert the peer review process. Peer review is performed
by qualified scientists. Climate crisis advocates have a well-established pattern of attempting to conceal data. The
most notorious example is the bogus "hockey stick" in which global temperature were
claimed to have been stable for a thousand years, until they rose exponentially in
the past few decades. The hockey stick graph was included in the 2001 IPCC report
as proof of CO2 caused global warming. The graph was doubted from the outset, because
it did not show the Medieval Warm Period or the Little Ice Age, major periods of natural
climate variation. With enormous effort, skeptical scientists finally managed to extract
the source data from those behind the hockey stick construction and to show the specific
errors in data processing that produced the spurious result. Organizations such as
the Harvard-Smithsonian Institute for Astrophysics subsequently conducted a massive
review of the scientific literature and firmly established the existence of the past
climate variations. The UN removed the hockey stick from the 2007 IPCC report. The process
of uncovering and correcting the errors took close to a decade, because the originating
scientists would not divulge their data or detailed methodology. CRU was heavily involved
in preparing the data for the bogus hockey stick. The present resolution would prevent
such concealment and would enable skeptical scientists to conduct a proper review
of important research. The errors in the derivation of the hockey stick might have
been revealed before it was included in the 2001 IPCC report. Currently there is considerable
controversy over recent temperature data that show sharp recent temperature rises.
Allegations include claims that much of the recent proof of global warming is derived
from the rings of three trees in Siberia, which is claimed to be given a high weight
in multiple sets of climate data. Originators of the data are extremely reluctant to reveal their data and methods.
The current resolution would help resolve the issue. Note that NASA has refused to
comply with FIA requests made in 2007. The present resolution would have required
contemporaneous disclosure. C2. The accepted professional practice for industry is
to use a software configuration control system. This is applied both to program code
and to data files. So if one wishes to recover the results at some specific time in
the past, the configuration control system will automatically reconstruct the software
and data sets for the desired day. CRU could not do that, so they could not comply
with FIA requests even if they wanted to. To my knowledge, no one has claimed that
being unable to reproduce past results is an acceptable practice in the scientific
world. Forcing immediate direct disclosure solves the problem in one sense, because
outsiders can then track the data. However, once scientists at CRU and elsewhere realize
they will be forced to disclose, by far the easiest way to comply is to do what they
should have always done -- implement a configuration control system. The US military
systematically requires its contractors to implement such systems, and they sometimes
require that the government be able to access the system remotely in real time. In
other words, the military does not allow disorganized software development. While
the resolution does not require such high standards of scientists, the resolution
strongly encourages improved practices. The benefit is that the taxpayers get higher
quality work for their money. C3. Why has Con failed to address the public's right
to get access to what they have paid for? I have allowed that there are certain exemptions
to the general rule of disclosure. Climate research does not fit any category of exemption. FIA requests have not been denied
under any claim of exemption, the requests are just arbitrarily delayed or ignored.
The resolution would put an end to concealment through delaying tactics. The CRU e-mails
include internal requests to destroy past e-mail files so they could not be uncovered
by FIA requests. CRU also admits to having destroyed original climate data, although they claim they did so to save storage space. Immediate disclosure
puts an end to the destruction of scientific data to conceal it. Any one of my three
contentions is sufficient to support the resolution. So far Con has addressed none
of them. The resolution is affirmed.