• CON

    The rest of Obama's plan (involving the U.N.) is not part...

    The U. S. adopting Cap and Trade will have a significant effect on climate.

    I thank my opponent for a decent rebuttal. First, we are not assuming that the Obama plan will even work. It may, or it may not. My statisctic, not the debate, assumed that the Obama plan actually worked. W can further debate whether or not the plan will work or not. The debate, however, based on both people's calculations, establishes that nature automatically puts out a climate change of 0. Further, this debate does not entail the entire Obama plan for Climate Change, which also may or may not work, but just the U. S. adopting his Cap and Trade program. Therefore, I must only disprove that the U.S. adopting Cap and Trade will (by itself) result in a significant effect on climate (.25 degrees Fahrenheit). The rest of Obama's plan (involving the U.N.) is not part of Obama's Cap and Trade plan. Assuming that the Obama plan does not stop at 2050, then, yes, we can assume that Obama will continue to constrict the United States' carbon footprint to 2.4% of what it is now. This is the overall effect of Obama's Cap and Trade program. For these reasons, my opponent's calculations do not apply. 1. I will redo my calculations: 1.35 degrees warming=150 years 50 years= .45 degrees warming 27 percent U. S. x .45 degress warming=0.27 x 0.45= 0.1215 U.S. degrees warming contribution 0.1215 U.S. degrees warming x 2.4 percent left by 2059=0.1215 x .024 = 0.002916 U.S. contribution after 50 years 0.1215 current contribution - 0.002916 remaining contribution=0.118584 warming difference Therefore, after 50 years, even with my oppoenent's contribution to the statisctics, even making the grand assumption that it will work, Cap and Trade will not have a significant effect on climate. 2. Further, Cap and Trade will not even work to the degree that Obama anticipates it will. Companies would just pay a high amount of money and eventually die out. This would result in power crisis (as the Coal Industry dies out), a transportation crisis (as the Oil refining industry dies out), etc. This is impractical. Power and refined oil would be imported, and thus produced in other countries, especially ones that aren't in the U.N. From this, we know that the other countries would just end up producing everything that was produced domestically, and no emmissions would be lessened overall. In the meanwhile, jobs go overseas. I again reassert that Cap and Trade will not have a significant effect on climate. My opponent having the U.S. annex the world does not apply to this debate.